Loving-Washer-Data
0xa641d96eab80a59bb4c35c590e3fe7cbd90c0866
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$-93.87
Win rate
4%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3571 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?
2466 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-403.68
- NO
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
1830 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-182.00
- YES
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
1469 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-470.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?
1282 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-54.75
- UNDER
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5
1228 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- YES
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1045 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- YES
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1040 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- UNDER
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
1025 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.4KJul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.53Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $129.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.