Direct-Wagon
0xa6453cdf0b1b85b173f5da7da9348e28c8a1826f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$25.98
Total PnL
$-19.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 89.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.00
$1.07
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
5 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$5.00
$0.28
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 94.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.76
$0.06
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 83.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.22
$0.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$2.00
$0.88
- NO
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?
46 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
6 shares @ 70.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $117K September 8–14?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.43May 25, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.43May 25, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.43May 25, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.15May 25, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$4.72Apr 2, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.17Apr 1, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.71Apr 1, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$8.93Apr 1, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$49.87Apr 1, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.86Apr 1, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.65Mar 27, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.02Mar 27, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.63Mar 27, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.12Mar 27, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.53Mar 27, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.12Mar 26, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$27.30Mar 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$14.50Mar 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03Mar 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.60Mar 23, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".