Judicious-Whack
0xa64835976dd321fce999481df3fe31491c0d047e
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$14.29
Win rate
8%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
944 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
535 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays
283 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
209 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
194 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-96.83
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
190 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-104.63
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
180 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-95.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
177 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
174 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$26.16Aug 18, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10.34Aug 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10.34Aug 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$25.84Aug 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$25.86Aug 18, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$191.46Aug 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$9.30Aug 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.48Aug 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$26.08Aug 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$26.12Aug 18, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$205.77Aug 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$103.34Aug 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$12.11Aug 18, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$25.96Aug 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$25.98Aug 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$25.97Aug 18, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$115.38Aug 18, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$10.36Aug 18, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$25.79Aug 18, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$25.81Aug 18, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
51 closed markets, 8% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $35.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.