Austere-Sombrero
0xa651b68b89f1f18b5ef1581dabf817e92c46d07f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 4, 2026?
151 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Celtics
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
100 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$101.10Jun 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$101.01Jun 2, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$101.10May 26, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$101.01May 26, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$101.10May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$101.01May 21, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$101.20May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$101.01May 9, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?$101.10May 9, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?$101.00May 8, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$101.10May 8, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$101.01May 6, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$101.10May 6, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$101.01May 4, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?$101.10May 4, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?$101.01Apr 30, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 24?$100.09Apr 30, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 24?$100.00Apr 24, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on April 23?$100.09Apr 24, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on April 23?$100.00Apr 22, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $84.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 11:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.