Creative-Necessity
0xa65cd01f1378c96df206e173ebf15ad66b35081e
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$5.45
Total PnL
$0.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 17?$2.00May 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3.01May 17, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Apr 10, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 11, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.39Mar 5, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$2.39Mar 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$2.20Feb 12, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$2.20Feb 12, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$2.14Jan 24, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill It Was Just an Accident win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$2.13Jan 24, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$0.00Jan 11, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill It Was Just an Accident win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$2.09Jan 11, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$2.09Jan 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$2.08Dec 9, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.08Dec 9, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.82Dec 1, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.83Dec 1, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.70Nov 16, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in NC on September 24?$1.02Nov 16, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$2.5KSep 24, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $533.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.