Smoggy-Thongs
0xa660cad8ad16d8967dcaffb75e5ad5082d471293
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$17.02
Total PnL
$-92.50
Realised
$-2.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$8.31
$7.31
- NO
Government shutdown on Saturday?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$3.13
$2.13
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in February?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$2.63
$0.63
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on February 5?
2 shares @ 66.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$1.51
$0.51
- YES
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
73 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
68 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?
56 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in February?$2.00Feb 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on February 5?$1.00Feb 5, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$1.00Feb 5, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 5, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? $6.46Jan 28, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$1.06Jan 26, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4.38Jan 26, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$3.60Jan 26, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.80 in January?$1.64Jan 26, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$1.02Jan 26, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$0.84Jan 26, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLX banned in U.K. by March 31?$0.62Jan 26, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$0.70Jan 26, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$0.76Jan 26, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$0.92Jan 26, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$1.00Jan 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 22, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$2.00Jan 22, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".