Secret-Glove
0xa6790f305eadf342025b50b31938bf8730a1054d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-133.38
Realised
$3.20
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
36 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.74
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?
23 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.26
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-01?
18 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
17 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?
15 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$2.04Jul 7, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$2.05Jul 7, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$5.60Jul 6, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$4.35Jul 5, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: O/U 2.5$1.02Jul 4, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$0.27Jul 4, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-04?$1.21Jul 4, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$1.08Jul 4, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$1.85Jul 4, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$0.99Jul 4, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-04?$1.02Jul 4, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$1.02Jul 4, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$1.03Jul 2, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$1.00Jul 2, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?$1.03Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$1.02Jul 1, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$1.01Jul 1, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$3.33Jul 1, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 1, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$0.99Jul 1, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.