Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-32.04

Realised

$-4.53

Win rate

5 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 40

YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on February 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 4?
200 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026
$0.00
$-3.50
NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?
100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-0.40
NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-0.30
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
30 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026
$0.00
$-0.12
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-1.01
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
25 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-1.46
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-0.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-1.60

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.05Mar 23, 12:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.10Mar 23, 12:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.35Mar 21, 09:22 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.15Mar 20, 13:24 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.31Mar 20, 13:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.04Mar 20, 13:21 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.05Mar 18, 07:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.35Mar 18, 07:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.05Mar 18, 07:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.35Mar 18, 07:22 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Mar 17, 03:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.35Mar 17, 03:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.45Mar 16, 16:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Mar 16, 16:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.35Mar 16, 16:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.35Mar 16, 15:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.10Mar 16, 10:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.35Mar 11, 13:10 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.40Mar 11, 12:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.35Mar 11, 12:55 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence17 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk41 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 47
Avg trade size: $0.53
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 20, 04:19 UTC
Last active: Mar 23, 12:27 UTC
Win rate sample: 5 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:10:31 UTC·src:Polymarket Data