Trim-Custard
0xa6879231db585117fffa695eb6c38bcc755353a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$271.15
Total PnL
$-291.61
Realised
$54.88
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 12?
82 shares @ 33.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$75.95
$48.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?
43 shares @ 67.9¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$29.15
$-0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 12?
45 shares @ 43.1¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$25.73
$6.44
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 12?
26 shares @ 45.7¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$25.30
$13.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 12?
36 shares @ 37.6¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$19.33
$5.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 12?
40 shares @ 45.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$17.85
$-0.31
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 11?
16 shares @ 38.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$16.17
$9.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 12?
46 shares @ 34.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$13.49
$-2.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?
81 shares @ 21.8¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$11.33
$-6.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 12?
37 shares @ 45.4¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$11.22
$-5.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 11?$3.48Jul 12, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?$1.50Jul 12, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?$2.69Jul 12, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?$1.04Jul 12, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?$21.92Jul 12, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?$2.64Jul 12, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 11?$4.09Jul 11, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 11?$32.55Jul 11, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?$1.52Jul 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?$1.55Jul 11, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?$2.09Jul 11, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?$2.06Jul 11, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova$10.20Jul 11, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?$63.44Jul 11, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?$22.04Jul 11, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?$12.24Jul 11, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 12?$0.88Jul 11, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?$9.52Jul 11, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?$14.70Jul 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?$3.67Jul 11, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.