Frugal-Cyst
0xa68c1c1c2f10fe2f47398891f0b242fc72944f94
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$139.42
Total PnL
$-954.74
Realised
$210.43
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
139 shares @ 28.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$138.57
$98.57
- REPUBLICAN
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania?
1922 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2022$0.77
$-123.23
- REPUBLICAN
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan?
550 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2022$0.05
$-109.95
- REPUBLICAN
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington?
100 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.02
$-12.76
- REPUBLICAN
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York?
5225 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-555.46
- YES
The Thiel Parlay
664 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-302.52
- REPUBLICAN
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win?
460 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-119.83
- REPUBLICAN
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire?
113 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2022$0.00
$-10.00
- DEMOCRAT
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina?
73 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-10.00
- REPUBLICAN
PA-08 House: Will a Democrat (Cartwright) or Republican (Bognet) win?
61 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting?$0.00Nov 8, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting?$0.00Nov 8, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting?$0.00Nov 3, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting?$0.00Nov 3, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25?$0.00Oct 26, 16:16 UTC
- MERGEGovernor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania?$44.26Oct 21, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 01:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.