Treasured-Floodplain
0xa68f8fdbc02961660f07710e66822f2c20f6b132
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$39.65
Total PnL
$1.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
17 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.97
$0.97
- NO
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$5.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.19
$0.19
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$2.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$5.00Jul 23, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$16.00Jul 23, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?$2.00Jul 23, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?$4.08Jul 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Apr 1, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$5.00Apr 1, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?$7.01Apr 1, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$10.10Apr 1, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$10.00Feb 26, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$5.00Feb 26, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?$7.00Feb 26, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5 not announced in 2024?$1.39Feb 26, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $3,000 in December?$0.00Feb 26, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $270 in December?$7.01Feb 26, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$11.04Feb 26, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?$4.00Dec 31, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $270 in December?$7.00Dec 31, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 500 or more times Dec 13-20?$1.01Dec 31, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$9.11Dec 31, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$2.05Dec 31, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".