0xa6915b12ff5b48b1c90d684687fe8679b7f74735
0xa6915b12ff5b48b1c90d684687fe8679b7f74735
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.56
Total PnL
$-31.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.56
$-1.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 5?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
3095 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.06Jul 5, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.06Jul 5, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 5?$1.08Jul 5, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 5?$1.08Jul 5, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 5?$1.08Jul 5, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 5?$1.08Jul 5, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$1.01Jul 2, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$1.01Jul 2, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?$1.05Jun 30, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.05Jun 30, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?$1.05Jun 29, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.05Jun 28, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$1.05Jun 28, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.05Jun 28, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$1.01Jun 28, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$1.05Jun 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.01Jun 27, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.05Jun 27, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?$1.05Jun 27, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$2.02Jun 26, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.