Secret-Influx
0xa6a55bb54d98b8428bbf7a11bd0a94de093bd3b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$221.88
Total PnL
$-28.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$98.15
$-1.85
- YES
Mikel Merino: 1+ goals
299 shares @ 16.7¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$44.90
$-5.10
- YES
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$40.96
$-9.04
- YES
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
631 shares @ 7.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$37.88
$-12.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMikel Merino: 1+ goals$52.08Jul 16, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$103.65Jul 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$52.30Jul 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnzo Fernández: 1+ goals$52.23Jul 16, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$317.46Jul 15, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 2+ goals$0.00Jul 15, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMEnzo Fernández: 1+ goals$500.00Jul 15, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLLautaro Martínez: 1+ goals$32.85Jul 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$41.82Jul 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnzo Fernández: 1+ goals$52.25Jul 15, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLautaro Martínez: 1+ goals$52.10Jul 15, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$103.42Jul 15, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMCristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 15, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$0.00Jul 15, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$325.20Jul 15, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$103.46Jul 14, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$31.43Jul 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$101.98Jul 6, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$499.49Jul 5, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$102.40Jul 5, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $98.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 18:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 15:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.