0xa6ab61b16b805847d34a9534eb4da6f464e12ee3
0xa6ab61b16b805847d34a9534eb4da6f464e12ee3
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-73.52
Realised
$-37.49
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?
875 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on June 6?
842 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?
210 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 22?
25 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
21 shares @ 84.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 22?
18 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 22?
16 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 22?
14 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 21?
11 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 22?
10 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Jul 13, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Jul 13, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Jul 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$4.91Jul 13, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$5.05Jul 13, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$4.72Jul 13, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$5.00Jul 13, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$4.86Jul 13, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.00Jul 13, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$4.75Jul 13, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Jul 13, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.05Jul 13, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$4.91Jul 13, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.05Jul 13, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 05:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.