Metallic-Flesh
0xa6aeba0aaf47e7efd0670583f13ffdc0506e1cdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$64.66
Total PnL
$-34.36
Realised
$-0.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
65 shares @ 69.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$64.66
$19.66
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
1002 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on February 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
21 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?$0.01Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$1.44Feb 9, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$2.00Feb 9, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$9.43Feb 9, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?$6.00Feb 7, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$5.99Feb 7, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 6, 2026?$0.00Feb 7, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on February 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$0.02Feb 3, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$45.00Feb 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$2.00Feb 3, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$1.92Feb 3, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$8.44Feb 3, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$5.00Feb 2, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.25Feb 2, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Feb 2, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$11.03Feb 2, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$9.17Feb 2, 23:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".