Determined-Branch
0xa6b64d70e37fbfab5513ca8d45a088bcdeadfe90
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$11.33
Total PnL
$-820.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
88 shares @ 11.4¢·now 10.6¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$9.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$-2.97
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
1538 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
1083 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-481.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
421 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
167 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
167 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
141 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$10.00Apr 1, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$100.00Apr 1, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$100.00Apr 1, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$66.17Apr 1, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$100.00Mar 21, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$10.00Mar 11, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$50.00Mar 11, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$50.00Mar 11, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$301.18Mar 7, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$99.98Mar 1, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$100.00Mar 1, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$177.50Feb 28, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 12, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$40.00Feb 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$40.00Feb 12, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?$41.08Feb 12, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$8.25Feb 6, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$50.00Feb 3, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $5.00Feb 3, 15:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $33.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".