Impassioned-Land
0xa6b932917ead03944cb39ddcf25931a73fb8f44a
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-460.90
Realised
$-2.53
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September?
137 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-28.47
- NO
Will Trump say "Skedaddle" during call with Service Members on November 27?
50 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-23.50
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 12+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?
41 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-03?
37 shares @ 68.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-25.66
- YES
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?
35 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.58
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani say "ICE" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?
31 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
28 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-15.17
- NO
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?
27 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-12.69
- YES
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-08?
24 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-13.93
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
24 shares @ 88.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-21.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-18?$17.76Jul 18, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-18?$4.61Jul 18, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?$4.62Jul 18, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?$4.74Jul 17, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.58Jul 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.14Jul 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$5.40Jul 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$3.07Jul 10, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?$6.30Jul 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$2.15Jun 30, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.09Jun 30, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.72Jun 29, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$1.05Jun 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.06Jun 28, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?$3.02Jun 28, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?$1.80Jun 28, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$6.14Jun 28, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?$4.79Jun 27, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal win on 2026-06-26?$3.80Jun 26, 21:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 23:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.