Acclaimed-Fort
0xa6c16d3729cfd315d2ba28d0b6025e973888384e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$40.53
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$-727.15
Win rate
8%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
3036 shares @ 14.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$34.92
$-415.08
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
11226 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$5.61
$-444.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?
61051 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-691.76
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
49874 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-718.24
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
20513 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-203.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
14286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24?
14117 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-242.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?
13596 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-176.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?
13233 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-211.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$200.00Aug 4, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$100.00Aug 4, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$100.00Aug 4, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$250.00Jul 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$150.00Jul 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$100.00Jul 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$50.00Jul 25, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$50.00Jul 22, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$200.00Jul 22, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?$16.03Jul 21, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?$31.97Jul 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$150.00Jul 20, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.19Jul 18, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$160.00Jul 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$155.20Jul 18, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$200.00Jul 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 6?$31.92Jul 6, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 6?$42.70Jul 6, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$37.79Jun 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.26Jun 15, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
40 closed markets, 8% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $53.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.