Marvelous-Locker
0xa6c4b7a37435b252e00e956308245aaec7fe78a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will "Ult" or "Ultimate" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ARCADE ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Arcade Esports (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Playoffs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Opera" be said at the Oscars?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the Oscars?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?$10.69May 7, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Arcade Esports (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Playoffs$1.00Mar 17, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ult" or "Ultimate" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?$1.00Mar 16, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Opera" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 16, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Charlie Kirk" be said at the Oscars?$2.00Mar 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$10.00Mar 16, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$3.00Mar 15, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.