Big-Hearted-Household
0xa6cca99faba7ff8cc2bd9f8a434da021bc6b6771
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$58.54
Total PnL
$-256.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$37.50
$22.50
- NO
Will the next pop be elected in 1 day?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$21.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?
796 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will the next Pope be from Europe?
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the next pop be elected in 2 days?
60 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?$80.00May 6, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?$100.00May 6, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPanthers vs. Maple Leafs$180.25May 6, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Maple Leafs$83.00May 5, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Buffett say "Trump" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?$0.00May 4, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Nuggets$0.00May 4, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMAvalanche vs. Stars$0.00May 4, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Buffett say "Tariff" 5+ times during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?$0.00May 4, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?$0.00May 4, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMHouthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?$0.00May 4, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?$0.00May 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$18.33May 4, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$33.69May 4, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Buffett say "Trump" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?$0.00May 4, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Buffett say "Tariff" 5+ times during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?$0.00May 4, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMHouthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?$0.00May 4, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Nuggets$0.00May 4, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMAvalanche vs. Stars$0.00May 4, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?$0.00May 4, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?$0.00May 4, 18:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $49.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 01:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.