0xa6d03c1ce07f5109927c9290a536ffc6a3753592
0xa6d03c1ce07f5109927c9290a536ffc6a3753592
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$63.36
Total PnL
$-99.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
41943 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$62.91
$-62.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?
900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.45
$-0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or below on July 21?
16150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-16.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?
1594 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?
686 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
289 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$8.68Jul 21, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or below on July 21?$17.60Jul 21, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?$6.17Jul 21, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?$0.98Jul 21, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$4.42Jul 21, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$137.14Jul 21, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$0.98Jul 21, 15:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.6KJul 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$759.19Jul 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$270.41Jul 19, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.1KJul 19, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $353.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.