Lined-Urn
0xa6e01b5af4ada294548bb3141a6e4ec4cc1a99ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$7.10
Total PnL
$-28.80
Realised
$-9.81
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of June 29 2026?$6.99Jul 1, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 23?$7.00Jul 1, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 23?$6.84Jun 22, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5$9.19Jun 6, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 30?$9.00Jun 6, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 30?$8.66May 29, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of May 18 2026?$15.16May 29, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of May 18 2026?$14.53May 20, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?$10.00May 20, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?$9.64May 14, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on May 8?$6.85May 14, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on May 8?$6.82May 7, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlyers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5$11.93Apr 20, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$591.60Apr 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$3.4KApr 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$3.9KApr 16, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $723.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 14:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.