Prudent-Ikebana
0xa6e98824915825e82193b8118c572e788c9296bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-106.38
Realised
$-11.71
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 5–7 years in prison?
477 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-49.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
24 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
14 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
13 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
11 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
9 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.59Mar 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.71Mar 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.03Mar 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.76Mar 11, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.84Mar 11, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.00Mar 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.36Mar 11, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.00Mar 11, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$2.18Mar 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$2.00Mar 11, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.17Mar 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.00Mar 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.79Mar 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.03Mar 11, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.36Mar 11, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.00Mar 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.44Mar 11, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.00Mar 11, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.