Diligent-Constraint
0xa6ed9059a0387e8908ace643462bc8691173604c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
173
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.2K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 173- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
1884 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
1866 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-374.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
1864 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
1858 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-158.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
1850 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
1841 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
1813 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-305.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
1803 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
1619 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-255.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
1617 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$13.79May 28, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$13.51May 28, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$27.72May 28, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$14.19May 28, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$106.30May 28, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$104.30May 28, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$221.71May 28, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$104.22May 28, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.17May 28, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$105.74May 28, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$52.38May 28, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$57.10May 28, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$25.04May 28, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$106.03May 28, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$105.32May 28, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$105.25May 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$104.65May 28, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$104.27May 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$104.73May 28, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$297.37May 28, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $69.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.