Petty-Baggy
0xa6f064e89a761a14d2972e9c8510c7143b33d8a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-151.86
Realised
$151.98
Win rate
50%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?
813 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
156 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
134 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.31
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?
88 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.32
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
70 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.56
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?
65 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Sudan civil war ceasefire in 2025?
50 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.15
- NO
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
49 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.17Jul 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$4.51Jul 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$2.20Jul 7, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$6.34Jul 7, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$3.30Jul 7, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.49May 13, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$2.10May 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?$2.40Apr 16, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?$2.00Apr 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?$1.30Apr 10, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?$11.11Apr 9, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?$2.22Apr 9, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?$0.96Apr 9, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?$0.02Apr 9, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?$5.70Apr 9, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.00Apr 7, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2.18Apr 7, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 7, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?$4.00Apr 7, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?$260.01Apr 7, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $19.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.