Celebrated-Vine
0xa6f13dfcd6743c6ad09561530984326578e3ecb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-195.15
Realised
$2.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
17330 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-26.90
- NO
Will Kamala Harris concede by Friday?
9772 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-8.50
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
3600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US inauguration on January 20?
918 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-14.65
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
917 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
600 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
531 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS inauguration on January 20?$5.00Jan 19, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS inauguration on January 20?$4.49Jan 9, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS inauguration on January 20?$0.02Jan 9, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS inauguration on January 20?$0.10Jan 9, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS inauguration on January 20?$0.02Jan 9, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS inauguration on January 20?$0.06Jan 9, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS inauguration on January 20?$0.04Jan 9, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS inauguration on January 20?$0.02Jan 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS inauguration on January 20?$1.90Jan 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $3.00Dec 24, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $3.00Dec 21, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a US Government shutdown? $4.40Dec 21, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu pandemic in 2024?$1.99Dec 21, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu pandemic in 2024?$0.02Dec 21, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a US Government shutdown? $12.63Dec 21, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $5.00Dec 21, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu pandemic in 2024?$0.69Dec 21, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $5.00Dec 21, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu pandemic in 2024?$0.87Dec 21, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu pandemic in 2024?$0.81Dec 21, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".