Scarce-Farm
0xa6f8b16ca35f4db7f8585f065f96343f6b1fa350
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.50
Total PnL
$-20.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$-1.20
- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7AM ET
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $118K in August?
18 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
15 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Schlep be unbanned from Roblox before October?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by September 30?$3.45Sep 4, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? $0.45Sep 4, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.84Sep 4, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? $1.00Aug 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 23?$0.01Aug 23, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$5.00Aug 23, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 23?$1.00Aug 19, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?$1.00Aug 18, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$2.60Aug 18, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?$3.00Aug 18, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $116k August 11–17?$0.00Aug 18, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $116k August 11–17?$5.00Aug 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Schlep be unbanned from Roblox before October?$2.00Aug 17, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $116k August 11–17?$2.60Aug 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.70Aug 15, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.00Aug 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$1.20Aug 15, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$2.05Aug 12, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?$9.72Aug 12, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?$5.00Aug 11, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 4, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".