Slow-Reliability
0xa6f99120d52ec2462cb01759d4a68c87dbfc09bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
28 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
4 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMPedro Porro: 1+ shots$2.56Jul 19, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$2.08Jul 19, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Porro: 1+ shots$1.03Jul 19, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5$0.99Jul 19, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$3.57Jul 19, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMDeclan Rice: 1+ shots$2.04Jul 18, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMEngland to score first vs. France?$2.86Jul 18, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland to score first vs. France?$1.03Jul 18, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$1.04Jul 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeclan Rice: 1+ shots$1.03Jul 18, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals$2.00Jul 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lionel Messi: 2+ goals$0.99Jul 15, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$1.04Jul 15, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.70Jul 8, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Endrick score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.56Jul 6, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$3.85Jun 15, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMViktor Gyökeres: 1+ goals$2.27Jun 15, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Gyökeres: 1+ goals$1.02Jun 15, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$2.03Jun 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 2, 09:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.