Hard-Pilgrim
0xa70219153c363bc79002e0aa3e10dc36752775cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$32.73
Total PnL
$0.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- RAMS
Rams vs. Bears
33 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$32.73
$14.73
- NO
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.37Jan 19, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$2.27Jan 19, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$2.27Jan 19, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Bears$18.00Jan 19, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$0.00May 6, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.00May 6, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden pardon Diddy?$1.02May 6, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$2.99May 6, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMMystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?$5.00May 6, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?$0.00May 6, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?$4.80Dec 16, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?$0.45Dec 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?$0.23Dec 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$13.86Nov 6, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$10.00Nov 6, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 6, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 6, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 6, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 6, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$2.00Nov 6, 01:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.