Warlike-Odometer
0xa7060ea40bdecf7aa7b897371a634836e59b9363
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-18.52
Realised
$-0.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 23?
4100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 89.8¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$3.7K
$1.6K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 23?
4100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 10.3¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$420.25
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
27 shares @ 37.7¢·now 34.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
17 shares @ 36.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.51
$-3.49
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
18 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?$10.25Aug 21, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.17Aug 21, 12:02 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 23?$4.1KAug 21, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?$2.5KJul 6, 18:55 UTC
- SPLITWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?$2.5KJun 26, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.1KJan 25, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.1KJan 22, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.02Jan 22, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.00Dec 8, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.00Dec 8, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$7.11Dec 8, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$3.00Dec 6, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.30Dec 6, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Sep 30, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Sep 30, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$5.00Sep 30, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.00Sep 30, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?$10.06Sep 30, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?$10.00Jun 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$10.00Jun 30, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $91.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.