0xa70987691ab49bcf0f63b8337f9725d70807cadc
0xa70987691ab49bcf0f63b8337f9725d70807cadc
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-147.92
Realised
$-5.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
43 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$43.00
$2.58
- YES
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
43 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$43.00
$2.58
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?
43 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$43.00
$2.58
- NO
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
42 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$42.00
$2.10
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
42 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$42.00
$2.02
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?
42 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$42.00
$1.85
- YES
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
42 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$42.00
$2.10
- NO
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
42 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$42.00
$2.52
- NO
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
42 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$42.00
$2.35
- NO
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
42 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$42.00
$1.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Colom be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Mississippi?$3.76Feb 10, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$8.45Feb 4, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.68Jan 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$39.90Jan 15, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?$40.00Jan 15, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$39.98Jan 14, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$9.51Jan 14, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$40.00Jan 13, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.42Jan 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$38.66Jan 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$40.53Jan 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$39.90Jan 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.42Jan 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.32Jan 12, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$0.00Jan 12, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Jan 12, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$41.00Jan 12, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chloe Zhao (Hamnet) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?$41.00Jan 12, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hacks win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?$41.00Jan 12, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marty Supreme win Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Jan 12, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $29.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 23:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 23:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".