Simple-Distribution
0xa7100982cd00578e9d260c068d1c0d3f0fdc7bd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.79
Total PnL
$-17.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.64
$-0.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
58 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Hornets
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$3.08Apr 8, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?$1.00Apr 7, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.00Apr 7, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.33Apr 1, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.92Mar 24, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Hornets$1.00Mar 24, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 24, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$2.00Mar 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 24, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$2.00Mar 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.00Mar 24, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00Mar 24, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$2.00Mar 24, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$2.00Mar 24, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 18:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.