Giving-Dickey
0xa712d6777334a3011586985f9c57a8691a16982c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-16.5K
Realised
$-8.1K
Win rate
0%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
260 shares @ 38.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$141.70
$41.40
- NO
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
170 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$133.45
$0.85
- YES
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
270 shares @ 36.8¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$101.25
$1.95
- YES
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$79.80
$3.00
- YES
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 69.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$42.75
$8.05
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
120 shares @ 34.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$41.39
$-0.01
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 34.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.64
$3.24
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-05?
100 shares @ 39.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$39.50
$0.00
- YES
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
40 shares @ 29.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.92
$26.32
- YES
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
120 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$34.19
$-1.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$2.64Jul 5, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$2.90Jul 5, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.00Jul 5, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$2.89Jul 5, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$5.00Jul 5, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$2.90Jul 5, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.00Jul 5, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$2.85Jul 5, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$8.31Jul 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$4.82Jul 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$2.84Jul 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$2.85Jul 5, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$4.47Jul 5, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$2.94Jul 5, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$6.98Jul 5, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$3.82Jul 5, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$13.79Jul 5, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$7.82Jul 5, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$6.65Jul 5, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$2.67Jul 5, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
42 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.