Wallet digest

active

Activity score

29/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-4.9K

Realised

$-561.97

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 26

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1136 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
1063 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-607.16
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
445 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025
$0.00
$-378.08
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
346 shares @ 95.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-330.14
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
301 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-282.81
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
251 shares @ 98.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-246.97
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
248 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-233.06
TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks
232 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025
$0.00
$-52.80
YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?
229 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-206.54
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
224 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025
$0.00
$-171.47

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$283.05Mar 11, 16:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$283.05Mar 11, 14:47 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$277.85Mar 11, 14:43 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$277.86Mar 10, 02:44 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$277.88Mar 10, 02:42 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$277.87Mar 10, 02:32 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$275.10Mar 10, 02:29 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$275.10Mar 10, 01:57 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$269.82Mar 10, 01:53 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$269.82Mar 10, 01:51 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$267.13Mar 10, 01:43 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$267.13Mar 9, 23:57 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$264.47Mar 9, 23:54 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$264.47Mar 9, 23:22 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$261.83Mar 9, 23:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$142.28Mar 9, 23:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 23:18 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$140.86Mar 9, 23:13 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 23:12 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$260.41Mar 9, 23:12 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity35 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry38 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk59 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 23
Avg trade size: $239.73
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 9, 01:55 UTC
Last active: Mar 11, 16:03 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:07:30 UTC·src:Polymarket Data