Arid-Portion
0xa71bab76c83420b193a1ddcc5927b0dfe910aab8
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$26.07
Total PnL
$-12.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.20
$0.60
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
190 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.90
$1.72
- NO
Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.77
$0.27
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
200 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
40 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
30 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.60Jun 12, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.21Jun 11, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Jun 11, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$5.00Jun 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$3.55Jun 11, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.94Jun 7, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$3.50Jun 7, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.40Jun 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$4.00Jun 7, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$26.96Jun 7, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$11.26Jun 7, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$10.24Jun 7, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$34.46Jun 7, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.99Jun 4, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jun 4, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00May 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.87May 30, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.60May 29, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.