Webbed-Prow
0xa72805b76d3d4ed2ce145beb4781348c55f12dc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-262.54
Realised
$-3.63
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
71 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-57.52
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
69 shares @ 67.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.49
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
69 shares @ 72.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.13
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
68 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.75
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
47 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 2.0% and 2.3%?
42 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.70
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
40 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 27?
30 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 28?$11.00Mar 2, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$43.20Feb 27, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$30.53Feb 27, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$21.28Feb 27, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$8.62Feb 27, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$48.89Feb 27, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$44.37Feb 27, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$10.61Feb 27, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 28?$10.34Feb 27, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$11.35Feb 27, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$3.26Feb 26, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$0.94Feb 26, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 27?$8.10Feb 26, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$8.00Feb 26, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$22.40Feb 26, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 27?$5.22Feb 25, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 2.0% and 2.3%?$4.75Feb 25, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.01Feb 25, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 21?$0.00Feb 25, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on February 21?$0.00Feb 25, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $15.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.