Optimal-Chance
0xa72985f9fcf3eb6cac4e3f78c1308a58f84c9326
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-446.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1490 shares @ 94.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-21.61
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
907 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$575.95
$-13.61
- NO
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$57.85
$-0.03
- HEAT
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
166133 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-78.1K
- OVER
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5
122101 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-65.9K
- JAZZ
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)
91500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-45.8K
- UNDER
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5
71200 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-31.3K
- NUGGETS
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
66639 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-34.0K
- UNDER
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5
64800 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-31.8K
- WIZARDS
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)
53000 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-28.6K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.18Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 30, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$25.00May 29, 19:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$23.32May 20, 07:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 18, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $24.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".