Red-Democrat
0xa729cbc21ee2d7bbb1fc25a0cd3cb46c115e24ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$29.35
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$-26.03
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
100 shares @ 56.8¢·now 29.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.35
$-27.45
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 1AM ET
800 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-367.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
600 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-504.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4AM ET
500 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-230.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11AM ET
472 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-210.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 2AM ET
400 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-184.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12AM ET
400 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-184.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8AM ET
400 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-184.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1PM ET
400 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-184.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$49.99Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$49.99Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$49.99Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$50.00Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET$199.96Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET$199.98Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8AM ET$200.00Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.74Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET$79.00Jun 3, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET$13.00Jun 3, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$7.47Jun 3, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$3.22Jun 3, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.28Jun 3, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$3.22Jun 3, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$6.81Jun 3, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.99Jun 3, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$8.59Jun 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.43Jun 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.85Jun 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.85Jun 3, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".