Exciting-Bill-Sprat
0xa73723c445c8b85e6ef6d002301ca5e2574ba26b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.13
Total PnL
$-2.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $125 in May?
65 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?$1.02Jun 1, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$1.01Jun 1, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 1, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$1.01Jun 1, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$1.01Jun 1, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 1, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.23May 31, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $125 in May?$2.08May 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?$3.01May 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$3.01May 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$2.00May 19, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 2?$1.33May 2, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 2?$1.01May 1, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.04May 1, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.