Striking-Container
0xa73a5fb65a4f21c23311189e502c6357448bfd52
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-31.33
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
1018 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-315.44
- UP
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 4?
1010 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-244.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
997 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-229.36
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?
768 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
357 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-16.40
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
334 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
288 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Player 162 win Beast Games: Season 2?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Player 566 win Beast Games: Season 2?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$238.19Jul 14, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$326.32Jul 11, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$4.50Jul 4, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$4.49Jul 4, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.75Jul 4, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.12Jul 4, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$6.34Jul 4, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.08Jul 4, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$6.00Apr 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.94Apr 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$6.00Apr 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$7.79Apr 12, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$6.00Apr 12, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$2.00Apr 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.00Apr 12, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$7.59Apr 12, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.00Apr 12, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $22.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.