Long-Term-Juice
0xa7412d96f527da5b30e0ca392ac6ddf7fffaf3cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-727.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?
4147 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-318.80
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
3772 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-131.24
- YES
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
1200 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-52.72
- YES
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?
913 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-16.03
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
668 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-53.44
- YES
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
644 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.38
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
297 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-77.21
- YES
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
270 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-57.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$11.21Feb 23, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $9.75Feb 23, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $10.81Feb 23, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $37.42Feb 23, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$5.80Feb 23, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$45.30Feb 23, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$3.30Feb 23, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$8.70Feb 23, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$2.90Feb 23, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$14.01Jan 30, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$11.20Jan 30, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$7.15Jan 30, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$5.00Jan 30, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$9.80Jan 30, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$0.00Jan 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$1.24Jan 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$53.44Jan 30, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$3.00Jan 29, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$1.33Jan 29, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$110.00Jan 25, 12:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".