Reckless-Squid
0xa741aace39f4c0879896653e37e9703f2ec12c83
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-59.18
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
335 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.02
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
234 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-22.73
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
172 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.92
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
163 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-27.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12PM ET
159 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-73.23
- OVER
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
144 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
128 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$10.95Jul 21, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$8.94Jul 21, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$20.00Jul 21, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$13.12Jul 21, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$8.94Jul 21, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$14.11Jul 21, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$19.99Jul 21, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$12.82Jul 21, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$10.15Jul 20, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$13.12Jul 20, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$8.74Jul 20, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$19.94Jul 20, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$20.35Jul 20, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$15.07Jul 20, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$11.95Jul 20, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$20.00Jul 20, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$20.00Jul 20, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$9.58Jul 20, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.