Thorny-Shoemaker
0xa7480b1b185764dadb797a649762d22b7723b361
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$3.07
Total PnL
$-44.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.07
$-1.93
- YES
YZY market cap (FDV) $3B–$5B one day after launch?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
43 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before July?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?
13 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-08-22?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$3.33Jan 6, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?$2.00Dec 2, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?$2.00Dec 1, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?$10.00Nov 30, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?$6.10Nov 30, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?$7.78Nov 30, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?$7.00Nov 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?$5.00Nov 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$5.00Nov 28, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?$7.14Nov 28, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$7.35Nov 28, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$3.00Nov 20, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wales win on 2025-11-18?$5.26Nov 19, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wales win on 2025-11-18?$3.00Nov 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2025-11-18?$5.00Nov 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?$1.00Nov 18, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2025-11-17?$2.53Nov 18, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland win on 2025-11-17?$6.58Nov 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2025-11-17?$2.00Nov 17, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2025-11-17?$5.00Nov 17, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".