Insubstantial-Tract
0xa74c239d9119cb7f4a13fdc3118cd881428900dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$76.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
13000 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?
4000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30?
2800 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-106.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27?
2100 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-554.63
- YES
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
600 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-416.37
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28?
221 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-31.47
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Feb 6, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?$1.6KFeb 5, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$970.00Feb 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$967.00Feb 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$720.00Feb 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$141.59Feb 5, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$100.00Feb 5, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$176.97Feb 5, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$500.00Feb 5, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?$998.10Feb 5, 12:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Feb 5, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Feb 4, 01:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Feb 3, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Feb 2, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$20.6KFeb 1, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.0KFeb 1, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$30.8KFeb 1, 02:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Feb 1, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jan 31, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$34.36Jan 30, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 00:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.