0xa7607afbbd0a4bcd31aa225187ea8697cdca2c51
0xa7607afbbd0a4bcd31aa225187ea8697cdca2c51
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$381.90
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-113.48
Win rate
0%
113 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?
382 shares @ 46.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$381.90
$202.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 10?
439 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-179.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 10?
422 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-130.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?
327 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-139.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 8?
320 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-142.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 9?
316 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-128.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 9?
312 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-113.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 9?
293 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-169.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 11?
270 shares @ 71.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-193.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 10?
238 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-73.89
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 13?$118.76Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 13?$108.55Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 13?$64.07Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?$50.00Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?$43.98Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 13?$35.28Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 13?$34.27Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 13?$29.00Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 13?$21.49Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?$19.80Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 13?$6.64Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 13?$4.98Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 13?$4.88Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 13?$33.03Jul 13, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 13?$15.13Jul 13, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 13?$14.67Jul 13, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 13?$9.57Jul 13, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 13?$160.70Jul 13, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 13?$44.21Jul 13, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 13?$38.23Jul 13, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 113 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
113 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $34.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 113 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.