0xa761d98002f6aec10eee80576861d4eb3c4de514
0xa761d98002f6aec10eee80576861d4eb3c4de514
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$44.02
Total PnL
$-0.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 2?
14 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$14.37
$0.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 7?
9 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$9.49
$1.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 7?
8 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$8.07
$1.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on April 7?
7 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$7.14
$1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 3?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$4.95
$0.79
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
910 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
57 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 7?$2.06Apr 4, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on April 7?$6.14Apr 4, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on April 7?$4.56Apr 4, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 7?$8.13Apr 4, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 2?$13.59Mar 30, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 3?$4.20Mar 30, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.68Mar 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.46Mar 15, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.84Mar 15, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$0.48Mar 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$1.82Mar 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$0.28Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.95Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$0.42Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$0.65Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$0.90Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.75Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$1.50Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.30Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$2.30Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".