Shallow-Robot
0xa7639c1f6ea39b86c576c50b538f1f093f5a84b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$850.10
Total PnL
$-31.17
Realised
$-1.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 2?
480 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$480.00
$4.80
- NO
Will Harris English win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?
240 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$240.10
$0.58
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?
130 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$130.00
$1.56
- YES
Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?
606 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.17
- YES
Will Francesca Muñoz come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
587 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.59
- YES
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?
572 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.78
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?
550 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on December 24?
547 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.61
- YES
Will Emma Munro win Love Island season 12?
390 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in July 2025?
367 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$0.49Mar 30, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$2.48Mar 26, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?$128.44Mar 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris English win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$239.52Mar 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on December 24?$5.61Dec 19, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 2?$475.20Nov 29, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 17 above $145?$3.74Nov 20, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Muñoz come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$4.59Nov 9, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$330.07Nov 6, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$119.64Nov 3, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$119.76Nov 1, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$312.84Oct 30, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill The White Lotus win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?$109.00Oct 28, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Florian Lipowitz win the Tour de France 2025?$160.00Oct 28, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Vietnam in July?$200.00Oct 28, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 30%?$206.31Oct 28, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$210.19Oct 28, 22:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zuriel Oduwole win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.40Oct 8, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$119.28Oct 8, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $101.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.