Lively-Jury
0xa764c153214823f2147825ea523e0b9b4f75f0dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$37.21
Total PnL
$-28.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will Jeremiah Ing win Survivor season 49?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Over 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?$1.00Jan 4, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$1.00Dec 26, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?$1.00Dec 10, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?$1.00Dec 9, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 7?$1.00Dec 6, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 4, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.00Dec 3, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $310 before 2026?$1.00Dec 2, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 1, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2025?$1.00Nov 29, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFannie Mae IPO in 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$1.00Nov 27, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 24-30?$1.00Nov 26, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Nov 25, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".