Positive-Jellybeans
0xa767e2e8b8d85b19ae35b9acade652672e72f8d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.92
Realised
$0.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hamas" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?
33 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.78
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in April?
21 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.75
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
12 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- ATLÉTICO MADRID
Copa Del Rey: Barcelona vs. Atlético Madrid (To Advance)
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$22.13May 1, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.19May 1, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$10.12May 1, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$16.14May 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$10.32May 1, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$11.76May 1, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$3.01May 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.15May 1, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.16May 1, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.07May 1, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.01May 1, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Apr 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.94Mar 11, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 17, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$6.10Jan 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 15, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 15, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?$10.00Nov 6, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$6.90Nov 6, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".