Definite-Chiffonier
0xa768af258c0a13499fd84cd5f1832e2659f10971
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$294.24
Total PnL
$-59.86
Realised
$0.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?
29 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 2, 2026$28.56
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 2?
19 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 2, 2026$18.41
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 1, 2026$9.74
$0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 2?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 2, 2026$9.63
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 2?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 2, 2026$9.61
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 2?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$9.58
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 2?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 2, 2026$9.54
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on May 2?
10 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 2, 2026$9.51
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 2?
10 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$9.47
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 2?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 2, 2026$9.45
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?$9.267m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 2?$9.277m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 2?$9.5611m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 2?$9.3312m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 2?$2.5313m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 2?$1.6613m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 2?$5.0813m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 2?$9.2415m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 2?$9.7316m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on May 2?$9.5023m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?$9.3125m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?$9.2532m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 2?$9.4035m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?$9.2345m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?$0.6657m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?$7.5358m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?$9.2258m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?$9.671h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 2?$9.281h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 2?$9.491h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4h ago
- Last active
- 7m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".